Research Articles

June Fed recap: Warsh opens with a rate-hold and a new Fed playbook
The Fed held rates steady again, but the bigger story was the change in leadership, communication style and policy framework. Read on for our recap of the recent June Fed meeting.

Singapore's May NODX surges to 22-year high: AI integration runs deep, positive view maintained
Singapore's May NODX surged 38.4% year on year, marking its fastest growth in more than two decades. More importantly, the composition of exports highlights Singapore's deepening role in the global AI semiconductor supply chain, supporting the view that the current export upswing is driven by structural rather than cyclical factors.

US 1Q26 earnings review: Strong earnings growth but selectivity still matters
In this article, we analyse the US 1Q26 earnings results and key sectoral drivers, and outline how investors should position for the US market going forward.

Bank of Japan hikes as expected: What comes after 1.0%?
BOJ raised its policy rate to 1.0%, marking another milestone in its gradual policy normalisation. While the move reflects growing confidence that Japan’s reflation process is becoming more durable, policymakers remain cautious about elevated energy prices and geopolitical uncertainty.

The Iran deal is done, but oil isn't going back to USD 65. Here’s why.
Markets celebrated the US-Iran ceasefire with a surge in Asian equities and a sharp drop in oil — but the physical supply picture hasn't changed. A deal will not bring oil back to USD 65.

Still expanding: What Singapore's ten-month PMI streak says about the road ahead
As global uncertainty deepens, Singapore's manufacturing sector is accelerating rather than retreating — and with safe-haven capital flows reinforcing the factory-floor data, the case for Singapore as the region's most resilient equity market is growing stronger.

Prospect of further ECB rate hikes reinforces our downgrade of European equities
Synopsis: The ECB’s first rate hike since 2023 reinforces our Unattractive view on European equities, as renewed inflation pressure is forcing tighter policy just as growth weakens, although selective opportunities remain in European defence and power infrastructure.

The three pillars behind China's export boom: AI, EVs and rare earths
China’s exports surged to a record high in May 2026, driven by strong global demand for AI technologies, electric vehicles, and rare earth materials, underscoring its shift from low-cost manufacturing to high-value strategic exports.

Europe downgraded to unattractive: The energy shock is not over, and earnings are likely to show it
Synopsis: We downgrade European equities to Unattractive - 2.0 Stars as higher-for-longer energy prices raise stagflation and earnings risks, while Europe’s remaining opportunities are increasingly concentrated in selective themes such as defence, power infrastructure and electrification.

The Asia bull stumbles – but we believe it’s a reset, not a regime change
Three forces collided within 72 hours to derail Asia's hottest trade. What happened, who got hurt the most, and what should investors do next?